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Why very less ships are coming for recycling.

15-Jun-2025

The decline in the number of ships coming for recycling or breaking up in recent years is due to a mix of economic, regulatory, and market factors. Here’s a breakdown of the major reasons:

1. High Freight Rates (Shipping Profits Still Strong)

  • Post-COVID boom: Since 2021, global shipping demand surged (especially containers, bulkers), leading to record profits for shipping companies.
  • Shipowners delay scrapping: Many older ships that would normally be scrapped are still profitable to operate.

2. Young Global Fleet

  • A significant portion of the global fleet was built between 2008 and 2015, meaning many vessels are still under 20 years old — not yet due for recycling.
  • Ship lifespan is around 25–30 years; hence, fewer are currently eligible.

3. Environmental and Regulatory Delays

  • IMO regulations (e.g. carbon intensity index, EU ETS, etc.) are still evolving.
  • Shipowners are waiting to see how older ships can be retrofitted or sold before choosing to scrap.
  • Scrapping yards must comply with Hong Kong Convention standards (more below), limiting eligible yards.

4. High Scrap Yard Costs & Compliance Issues

  • Many yards (especially in India, Pakistan, Bangladesh) face pressure to improve environmental and labor safety standards.
  • Some shipowners prefer to delay scrapping rather than risk reputation issues or face regulatory red tape.

5. Uncertain Steel Market

  • Recycled ships are a major source of scrap steel.
  • If steel demand or prices are weak, yards reduce offers — making scrapping less attractive to shipowners.

6. Geopolitical Disruptions

  • Conflicts (e.g. Red Sea, Russia–Ukraine, etc.) affect global trade routes and demand for tonnage.
  • More older ships are used in “gray trades” (like sanctioned oil) instead of being scrapped.

The Hong Kong Convention (HKC) Impact

  • Entering into force in 2025, the HKC sets safe and environmentally sound ship recycling standards.
  • Shipowners are already assessing which yards will be compliant — delaying scrapping decisions until rules are clear.

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